So, being an avid cyclist and having some time on my hands I made a little MathCAD program that investigates things like fuel economy, gasoline prices, relative likes/dislikes for biking and cars and stuff. Here's one outcome chart. Instructions are below:

To interpret the graph,
- Find the type of biker that you most closely resemble (commuter, avgbiker, or lovescar). Commuters ride all year, even in the snow and cold. Average bikers put their bikes away when it gets cold, but will ride in the rain if necessary. People who love their cars ride only when the sun is out and it's warm.
- Next, estimate your discount rate for driving a car. This is all driving, in all travel conditions, including traffic. A discount rate of zero means that you love to be in your car more than anywhere else on Earth. A discount rate of 1 means that you would rather be anywhere else on Earth than in a car.
- Having identified your car discount rate (p.car), move across the x-axis until you reach that value, then move upwards to the line that matches your cycling preference. The corresponding y-value is the price that gasoline will have to reach for you to be indifferent between biking and driving.
NOTE: The parameters can be adjusted for your fuel efficiency, local weather, maintenance costs, and wages. My driving discount rate is around 0.9 and I'm a commuter. Looks like I'm already switched over to biking! I wonder what people think about this. (You can reserve your comments about my relative amount of free time because this is for a class research project about bike path impacts on nearby property values.) From this analysis it looks like it's going to take a lot more than high gas prices to get people to ride their bikes to work! The thing about models like this is that they're just too simple. I don't ride my bike because gas is expensive, I ride it because I love to ride it and I hate riding in cars. Still, it might be interesting to someone else, so I post it here.
How much to you love your car? Here's a dollar value. Find that price of gas at which you are indifferent between biking and driving. You might be surprised at how high it is! Remember that the y-axis is a log scale.
No comments:
Post a Comment